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Eltersdorf vs Grossschwarz. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Eltersdorf

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Grossschwarz.

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-13.8%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.7%1-18.5%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.1%3-17.2%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-16.9%4+-22.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.4% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 17.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 60% / xG 2.3-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–1 8.5%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 3–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eltersdorf2.3

Grossschwarz.0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ELTERSDORF · PPG 2.00

GROSSSCHWARZ. · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=60.4%

Win probability 1X2

Eltersdorf (H) 60.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grossschwarz. (A) 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eltersdorf face Grossschwarz. in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eltersdorf a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Grossschwarz. 18%, so Eltersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Eltersdorf and 0.8 for Grossschwarz. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eltersdorf are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Grossschwarz.. This match finished 3-1.

Eltersdorf vs Grossschwarz. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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