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Kornburg vs E. Bamberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Kornburg

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

E. Bamberg

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-18.2%0-25.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.1%1-111.7%1-28.4%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.3%2-26.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.8%3-14.0%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 37.2% — — —

Over 2.5 56.9% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.7%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kornburg1.4

E. Bamberg1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KORNBURG · PPG 1.33

E. BAMBERG · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Kornburg (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

E. Bamberg (A) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kornburg face E. Bamberg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kornburg a 37% chance, the draw 26% and E. Bamberg 37%, so E. Bamberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kornburg and 1.4 for E. Bamberg (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kornburg are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for E. Bamberg. This match finished 1-3.

Kornburg vs E. Bamberg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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