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E. Bamberg vs Eltersdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

E. Bamberg

PPG 1.73 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Eltersdorf

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: GOOD (1.73) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-110.1%0-26.7%0-33.0%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.4%1-112.6%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.9%2-17.8%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.4%3-13.3%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 36.1% — — —

Over 2.5 51.4% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.5%

#3 1–2 8.4%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Bamberg1.2

Eltersdorf1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

E. BAMBERG · PPG 1.73

ELTERSDORF · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.73) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Win probability 1X2

E. Bamberg (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eltersdorf (A) 36.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Bamberg face Eltersdorf in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Bamberg a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Eltersdorf 36%, so E. Bamberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for E. Bamberg and 1.3 for Eltersdorf (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Bamberg are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 2.07 for Eltersdorf. This match finished 1-1.

E. Bamberg vs Eltersdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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