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Stadeln vs Cham Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 13:00

Stadeln

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Cham

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.0%0-25.3%0-33.8%0-4+3.3%1 1-03.8%1-18.1%1-28.6%1-36.2%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.1%2-16.6%2-27.0%2-35.0%2-4+4.4%3 3-01.7%3-13.5%3-23.8%3-32.7%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-12.1%4+-22.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.0% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 51.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.0%

A 42% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stadeln1.6

Cham2.1

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STADELN · PPG 1.47

CHAM · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Stadeln (H) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cham (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stadeln face Cham in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stadeln a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Cham 42%, so Cham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Stadeln and 2.1 for Cham (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stadeln are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.67 for Cham. This match finished 1-0.

Stadeln vs Cham Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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