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Neudrossenfeld vs Ingolstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Neudrossenfeld

PPG 1.53 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ingolstadt B

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.9%0-24.5%0-32.7%0-4+1.9%1 1-04.8%1-18.7%1-28.0%1-34.9%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.6%3-14.7%3-24.3%3-32.6%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.2%4+-22.9%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 37.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.0% — — —

BTTS 62.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.7%

A 38% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.7%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neudrossenfeld1.8

Ingolstadt B1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NEUDROSSENFELD · PPG 1.53

INGOLSTADT B · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Neudrossenfeld (H) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ingolstadt B (A) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Neudrossenfeld face Ingolstadt B in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neudrossenfeld a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Ingolstadt B 38%, so Ingolstadt B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Neudrossenfeld and 1.8 for Ingolstadt B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neudrossenfeld are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.20 for Ingolstadt B. This match finished 1-1.

Neudrossenfeld vs Ingolstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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