Murata vs Fiorentino Prediction

Unknown League Regular Season - 29 Stadio Igor Crescentini Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00

Murata PPG 0.14

1-4 MISS

Fiorentino PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Murata face Fiorentino on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Murata a 8% chance, the draw 17% and Fiorentino 74%, so Fiorentino are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Murata and 2.2 for Fiorentino (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Murata are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 1.86 for Fiorentino. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 8.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 17.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 74.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-3 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Murata

0.57

Fiorentino

2.17

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.14)