Today / Balingen vs Walldorf

Balingen vs Walldorf Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Balingen

PPG 0.56 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Walldorf

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.5%0-25.4%0-34.4%0-4+4.7%1 1-02.9%1-17.0%1-28.5%1-36.9%1-4+7.4%2 2-02.3%2-15.5%2-26.7%2-35.4%2-4+5.8%3 3-01.2%3-12.9%3-23.5%3-32.8%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.6%4+-21.9%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 51.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 56.5% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.0%

A 52% / xG 1.6-2.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.5%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 1–3 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Balingen1.6

Walldorf2.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BALINGEN · PPG 0.56

WALLDORF · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.13) vs Home POOR (0.56)

Win probability 1X2

Balingen (H) 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Walldorf (A) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Balingen face Walldorf on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Balingen a 27% chance, the draw 22% and Walldorf 52%, so Walldorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Balingen and 2.4 for Walldorf (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Balingen are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 1.13 for Walldorf. This match finished 1-4.

Balingen vs Walldorf Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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