Today / FC Koln B vs Schalke 04 B
FC Koln B vs Schalke 04 B Prediction
Saturday, May 16, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 42% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.3%
Form & verdict
FC KOLN B · PPG 1.63
SCHALKE 04 B · PPG 1.81
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.81)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
FC Koln B face Schalke 04 B on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Koln B a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Schalke 04 B 42%, so Schalke 04 B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for FC Koln B and 2.2 for Schalke 04 B (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Koln B are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.81 for Schalke 04 B. This match finished 1-5.