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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 13 Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium· Samtredia Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Samtredia logo Samtredia PPG 1.67
1-1 HIT CS2
Shturmi logo Shturmi PPG 1.33
Draw· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.2%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -30.5%
Draw 33.4%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +8.6%
Away 36.4%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -1.7%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.20 -23.0%
Over 3.5 13.0% Odds: 4.00 -28.8%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.85 -10.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Samtredia
0.87
Shturmi
1.06

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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