← Back to picks 
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 
Merani Martvili PPG 1.83 
Telavi PPG 0.67
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 Merani Martvili PPG 1.830-0 HIT CS3
Telavi PPG 0.67Over2.5· -3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.08 -3.9%
Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.75 -17.3%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.91 -7.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✔
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Merani Martvili 1.51
Telavi 0.74
Model Suggestion
Home -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=51.9%