Today / Suduroy vs IF Fuglafjordur

Suduroy vs IF Fuglafjordur Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Suduroy

PPG 2.60 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

IF Fuglafjordur

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 8.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.0%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.1%1-10.2%1-20.1%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-00.5%2-10.6%2-20.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-022.3%4+-131.8%4+-222.7%4+-310.8%4+-4+5.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 85.9% — — —

Draw 6.3% — — —

Away win 7.9% — — —

Over 2.5 94.5% — — —

Over 3.5 97.3% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)7.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.0%

H 86% / xG 7.2-1.4 / O2.5 94% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 4.1%

#2 5–2 2.9%

#3 5–0 2.9%

#4 4–1 2.8%

#5 4–2 2.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suduroy7.2

IF Fuglafjordur1.4

COMBINED 8.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 94.5% · O3.5 PROB 97.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDUROY · PPG 2.60

IF FUGLAFJORDUR · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Suduroy (H) 85.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 6.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

IF Fuglafjordur (A) 7.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suduroy face IF Fuglafjordur on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suduroy a 86% chance, the draw 6% and IF Fuglafjordur 8%, so Suduroy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 7.2 for Suduroy and 1.4 for IF Fuglafjordur (8.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 95% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suduroy are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.80 for IF Fuglafjordur. This match finished 1-4.

Suduroy vs IF Fuglafjordur Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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