Today / TEC vs ADO 20

TEC vs ADO 20 Prediction

Group A - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

TEC

PPG 0.93 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

ADO 20

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-19.9%0-28.9%0-35.4%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.1%1-110.9%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.3%2-16.0%2-25.4%2-33.2%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.2%3-12.2%3-22.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 53.8% — — —

Over 2.5 55.3% — — —

Over 3.5 32.9% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.6%

A 54% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 0–1 9.9%

#3 1–2✓ 9.8%

#4 0–2 8.9%

#5 1–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TEC1.1

ADO 201.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TEC · PPG 0.93

ADO 20 · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

TEC (H) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ADO 20 (A) 53.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TEC face ADO 20 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TEC a 23% chance, the draw 23% and ADO 20 54%, so ADO 20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for TEC and 1.8 for ADO 20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TEC are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.21 for ADO 20. This match finished 1-2.

TEC vs ADO 20 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions