Today / Sportlust vs Raalte

Sportlust vs Raalte Prediction

Group A - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Sportlust

PPG 1.93 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Raalte

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-18.0%0-27.3%0-34.5%0-4+3.1%1 1-05.7%1-110.4%1-29.5%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.7%2-16.8%2-26.2%2-33.8%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.6%3-12.9%3-22.7%3-31.6%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 49.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.3% — — —

Over 3.5 38.0% — — —

BTTS 60.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob60.9%

A 50% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2✓ 9.5%

#3 0–1 8.0%

#4 0–2 7.3%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sportlust1.3

Raalte1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.3% · O3.5 PROB 38.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTLUST · PPG 1.93

RAALTE · PPG 1.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.93), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Sportlust (H) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Raalte (A) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sportlust face Raalte on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sportlust a 27% chance, the draw 23% and Raalte 50%, so Raalte are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sportlust and 1.8 for Raalte (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sportlust are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.93 for Raalte. This match finished 1-2.

Sportlust vs Raalte Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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