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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 12 Narva Kalev-Fama staadion· Narva Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:30
Narva Trans logo Narva Trans PPG 1.20
0-3 HIT CS5
Flora logo Flora PPG 1.20
Over3.5· +8.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.4%
Odds: 7.60 EV: +5.7%
Draw 23.2%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +4.0%
Away 62.4%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -17.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.55 -0.9%
Over 3.5 45.4% Odds: 2.38 +8.1%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.77 +5.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Narva Trans
1.06
Flora
2.39

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

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