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Viggbyholms vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Norra Svealand - 8 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:00

Viggbyholms

PPG 0.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Franke

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.0% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4% — a clear edge.

+26.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-17.2%0-210.5%0-310.1%0-4+15.0%1 1-02.0%1-15.7%1-28.3%1-38.0%1-4+11.9%2 2-00.8%2-12.3%2-23.3%2-33.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.7% 32.3% 3.10 -36.4%

Draw 21.4% 26.0% 3.85 -10.6%

Away win 66.0% 52.4% 1.91 +26.1%

Over 2.5 63.9% 67.6% 1.48 -5.4%

Over 3.5 50.5% 45.5% 2.20 +11.1%

BTTS 52.2% 69.4% 1.44 -24.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -22.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob52.2%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.5%

#2 0–3 10.1%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–4 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viggbyholms0.8

Franke2.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIGGBYHOLMS · PPG 0.00

FRANKE · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Viggbyholms (H) 12.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -36.4%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -10.6%

Franke (A) 66.0%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +26.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Viggbyholms face Franke in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viggbyholms a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Franke 66%, so Franke are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Viggbyholms and 2.9 for Franke (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viggbyholms are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Franke. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Viggbyholms vs Franke Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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