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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 10 Klaipedosmiesto Centrinis· Klaipeda Saturday, May 16, 2026 11:00
Neptuna K. logo Neptuna K. PPG 1.50
1-3 HIT CS4
Minija logo Minija PPG 3.00
Over3.5· +34.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.3%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -34.2%
Draw 21.2%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -17.4%
Away 67.5%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +21.5%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.75 +11.8%
Over 3.5 51.1% Odds: 2.63 +34.4%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.75 -9.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 0-3 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 1-3 ✔
5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Neptuna K.
0.74
Minija
2.98

Model Suggestion

Away +21.5% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+34.4%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

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