Today / Brno U19 vs Plzen U19

Brno U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Brno U19

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Plzen U19

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.2%0-23.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.7%1-18.7%1-26.6%1-33.4%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.9%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.1%3-16.2%3-24.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-15.2%4+-23.9%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 48.3% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brno U192.1

Plzen U191.5

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRNO U19 · PPG 2.00

PLZEN U19 · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Brno U19 (H) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Plzen U19 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brno U19 face Plzen U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brno U19 a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Plzen U19 25%, so Brno U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Brno U19 and 1.5 for Plzen U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brno U19 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.42 for Plzen U19. This match finished 1-1.

Brno U19 vs Plzen U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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