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SK Poltava U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.57 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLD

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Dynamo Kyiv U19

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWWW

// Model verdict

Away 85% chance

Model probability 69.3% vs bookmaker-implied 91.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-17.6%0-212.7%0-314.2%0-4+27.9%1 1-01.0%1-13.3%1-25.5%1-36.2%1-4+12.2%2 2-00.2%2-10.7%2-21.2%2-31.4%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.2% 5.0% 20.00 +50.4%

Draw 21.5% 13.2% 7.60 +38.0%

Away win 69.3% 91.7% 1.09 -24.5%

Over 2.5 63.9% 80.0% 1.25 -20.1%

Over 3.5 52.5% 61.7% 1.62 -14.9%

BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob46.2%

A 69% / xG 0.4-3.4 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 14.2%

#2 0–2✓ 12.7%

#3 0–4 11.9%

#4 0–5 8.0%

#5 0–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SK Poltava U190.4

Dynamo Kyiv U193.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.57

DYNAMO KYIV U19 · PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

85%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

SK Poltava U19 (H) 9.2%

ODDS 20.00 · IMPLIED 5.0% EV +50.4%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 7.60 · IMPLIED 13.2% EV +38.0%

Dynamo Kyiv U19 (A) 69.3%

ODDS 1.09 · IMPLIED 91.7% EV -24.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

SK Poltava U19 face Dynamo Kyiv U19 in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SK Poltava U19 a 9% chance, the draw 22% and Dynamo Kyiv U19 69%, so Dynamo Kyiv U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for SK Poltava U19 and 3.4 for Dynamo Kyiv U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SK Poltava U19 are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.29 for Dynamo Kyiv U19. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +50.4%. This match finished 0-2.

SK Poltava U19 vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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