Metalist 1925 vs Episentr Prediction & Tips

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Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Tsentralnyi Stadion· Zhytomyr Saturday, May 16, 2026 10:00

Metalist 1925 PPG 1.79

1-1 HIT CS3

Episentr PPG 1.07

Away· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.6%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -15.4%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.1%

Away 21.5%

Odds: 5.10 EV: +5.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.05 -5.3%

Over 3.5 15.5% Odds: 3.70 -25.6%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Metalist 1925

1.41

Episentr

0.66

Model SuggestionHome -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.79) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)