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Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Saturday, May 16, 2026 10:00 
Kingsley PPG 2.50 
Floreat Athena PPG 1.00
Australia - Western Australia State League 1 Saturday, May 16, 2026 10:00 Kingsley PPG 2.500-4 MISS
Floreat Athena PPG 1.00Home· +13.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.53 -27.2%
Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 2.23 -29.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.42 -26.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kingsley 1.33
Floreat Athena 1.11
Model Suggestion
BTTS -26.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -26.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=45.2%