St George City vs APIA Leichhardt Prediction & Tips

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 15 Penshurst Park Saturday, May 16, 2026 09:15

St George City PPG 1.38

2-1 MISS

APIA Leichhardt PPG 1.83

Draw· -0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Home 14.3%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -16.2%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -0.3%

Away 62.0%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -7.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.50 -11.3%

Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: 2.30 -19.0%

BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.57 -17.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

St George City

0.88

APIA Leichhardt

2.12

Model SuggestionAway -7.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.38) vs Away GOOD (1.83)