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Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 08:00

Ipswich

PPG 1.83 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Broadbeach Utd

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-18.3%0-28.3%0-35.6%0-4+4.4%1 1-04.9%1-19.8%1-29.8%1-36.6%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.9%2-15.8%2-25.8%2-33.9%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.1%3-12.3%3-22.3%3-31.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 51.2% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 58.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob58.6%

A 51% / xG 1.2-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 8.3%

#5 1–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich1.2

Broadbeach Utd2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH · PPG 1.83

BROADBEACH UTD · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich (H) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Broadbeach Utd (A) 51.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich face Broadbeach Utd in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Broadbeach Utd 51%, so Broadbeach Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich and 2.0 for Broadbeach Utd (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 3.00 for Broadbeach Utd. This match finished 2-2.

Ipswich vs Broadbeach Utd Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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