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Australia - New South Wales NPL
Regular Season - 15
Christie Park· Sydney
Saturday, May 16, 2026
07:30
NWS Spirit
PPG 1.71
0-3
MISS
Marconi S.
PPG 2.20
Home· -1.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
23.9%
Odds: 4.10
EV: -1.2%
Draw
25.6%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -1.6%
Away
50.5%
Odds: 1.68
EV: -15.2%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.3%
Odds: 1.73
-9.5%
Over 3.5
26.4%
Odds: 2.85
-14.9%
BTTS
52.1%
Odds: 1.67
-13.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
NWS Spirit
0.92
Marconi S.
1.69
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-9.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: GOOD (1.71) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.20)