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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 15 Christie Park· Sydney Saturday, May 16, 2026 07:30
NWS Spirit logo NWS Spirit PPG 1.71
0-3 MISS
Marconi S. logo Marconi S. PPG 2.20
Home· -1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.9%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -1.2%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.6%
Away 50.5%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -15.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.73 -9.5%
Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 2.85 -14.9%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.67 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

NWS Spirit
0.92
Marconi S.
1.69

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.71) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

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