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Australia - Queensland Premier League logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland Premier League Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 16, 2026 07:00
B. Strikers logo B. Strikers PPG 2.33
3-2 MISS
Holland Park H. logo Holland Park H. PPG 1.75
Draw· +8.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -19.7%
Draw 25.5%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +8.8%
Away 22.0%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +0.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.33 -21.0%
Over 3.5 35.4% Odds: 1.85 -34.5%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.40 -26.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

B. Strikers
2.09
Holland Park H.
0.92

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -21.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -21.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 35%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.75)

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