Today / Sassuolo U20 vs Milan U20

Sassuolo U20 vs Milan U20 Prediction

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Sassuolo U20 logo
Sassuolo U20
PPG 1.19 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Milan U20 logo
Milan U20
PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.8%0-25.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.1%1-111.8%1-27.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.9%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.4%3-14.5%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 42.1%
Draw 25.1%
Away win 32.8%
Over 2.5 53.3%
Over 3.5 31.1%
BTTS 56.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.7%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%
#2 1–0 9.1%
#3 2–1 8.9%
#4 0–1 7.8%
#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sassuolo U201.5
Milan U201.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SASSUOLO U20 · PPG 1.19

MILAN U20 · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Sassuolo U20 (H) 42.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Milan U20 (A) 32.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sassuolo U20 face Milan U20 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sassuolo U20 a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Milan U20 33%, so Sassuolo U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sassuolo U20 and 1.3 for Milan U20 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sassuolo U20 are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.31 for Milan U20. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org