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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 15 Ernie Smith Reserve Saturday, May 16, 2026 07:00
SD Raiders logo SD Raiders PPG 1.00
2-2 MISS
Sutherland S. logo Sutherland S. PPG 1.00
Over2.5· +1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.2%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -10.7%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -6.3%
Away 36.5%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -6.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.70 +1.0%
Over 3.5 33.8% Odds: 2.75 -7.0%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.55 -9.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

SD Raiders
1.38
Sutherland S.
1.55

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +1.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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