Today / Fremantle City vs O. Kingsway

Fremantle City vs O. Kingsway Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Fremantle City

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

O. Kingsway

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.1%0-28.2%0-34.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.4%1-112.4%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.7%2-16.9%2-25.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.7%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fremantle City1.1

O. Kingsway1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FREMANTLE CITY · PPG 1.00

O. KINGSWAY · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Fremantle City (H) 29.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

O. Kingsway (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fremantle City face O. Kingsway on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fremantle City a 30% chance, the draw 28% and O. Kingsway 42%, so O. Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fremantle City and 1.5 for O. Kingsway (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fremantle City are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for O. Kingsway. This match finished 2-2.

Fremantle City vs O. Kingsway Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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