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WS Wanderers B vs Blacktown City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 0.83 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Blacktown City

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.8%0-23.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.5%1-110.6%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.6%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.7%3-15.8%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 43.5% 2.30 +17.8%

Draw 24.9% 29.9% 3.35 -10.0%

Away win 23.9% 36.4% 2.75 -20.6%

Over 2.5 59.5% 61.7% 1.62 -3.6%

Over 3.5 36.8% 40.0% 2.50 -8.0%

BTTS 58.6% 67.6% 1.48 -13.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.6%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B1.8

Blacktown City1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 0.83

BLACKTOWN CITY · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 51.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +17.8%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.0%

Blacktown City (A) 23.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face Blacktown City in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Blacktown City 24%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for WS Wanderers B and 1.3 for Blacktown City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 0.86 for Blacktown City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 3-3.

WS Wanderers B vs Blacktown City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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