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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 15 Saturday, May 16, 2026 05:00
WS Wanderers B logo WS Wanderers B PPG 0.83
3-3 MISS
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 0.86
Home· +17.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +17.8%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -10.0%
Away 23.9%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -20.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.5% Odds: 1.62 -3.6%
Over 3.5 36.8% Odds: 2.50 -8.0%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.48 -13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

WS Wanderers B
1.82
Blacktown City
1.25

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-3.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.83), Away POOR (0.86)

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