Today / Gundelfingen vs T. Augsburg

Gundelfingen vs T. Augsburg Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Gundelfingen logo
Gundelfingen
PPG 1.67 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
T. Augsburg logo
T. Augsburg
PPG 0.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.15) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-11.0%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.9%1-13.4%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.8%2-15.7%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.4%3-16.5%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-027.4%4+-113.3%4+-23.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 90.4%
Draw 7.0%
Away win 2.5%
Over 2.5 74.7%
Over 3.5 54.8%
BTTS 37.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 86%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob37.3%

H 90% / xG 3.4-0.5 / O2.5 75% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 13.4%
#2 2–0 11.8%
#3 4–0 11.5%
#4 5–0 7.8%
#5 1–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gundelfingen3.4
T. Augsburg0.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GUNDELFINGEN · PPG 1.67

T. AUGSBURG · PPG 0.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.15) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gundelfingen (H) 90.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 7.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
T. Augsburg (A) 2.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gundelfingen face T. Augsburg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gundelfingen a 90% chance, the draw 7% and T. Augsburg 3%, so Gundelfingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Gundelfingen and 0.5 for T. Augsburg (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gundelfingen are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.15 for T. Augsburg. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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