Today / OConnor Knight vs C. Croatia

OConnor Knight vs C. Croatia Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

OConnor Knight

PPG 2.25 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

C. Croatia

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-14.8%0-26.7%0-36.2%0-4+8.5%1 1-02.2%1-16.1%1-28.5%1-37.9%1-4+10.9%2 2-01.4%2-13.9%2-25.4%2-35.1%2-4+7.0%3 3-00.6%3-11.7%3-22.3%3-32.2%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 65.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.3% — — —

Over 3.5 58.0% — — —

BTTS 61.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob61.4%

A 66% / xG 1.3-2.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.5%

#2 1–3 7.9%

#3 1–1 6.1%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 0–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OConnor Knight1.3

C. Croatia2.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 58.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OCONNOR KNIGHT · PPG 2.25

C. CROATIA · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

OConnor Knight (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

C. Croatia (A) 65.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

OConnor Knight face C. Croatia on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OConnor Knight a 13% chance, the draw 22% and C. Croatia 66%, so C. Croatia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for OConnor Knight and 2.8 for C. Croatia (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OConnor Knight are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.25 for C. Croatia. This match finished 1-5.

OConnor Knight vs C. Croatia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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