Today / Harima W vs Kamogawa W

Harima W vs Kamogawa W Prediction

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Harima W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Kamogawa W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-115.6%0-210.9%0-35.1%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.9%1-112.4%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.5%2-14.9%2-23.4%2-31.6%2-4+0.8%3 3-00.9%3-11.3%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 45.7% — — —

Over 2.5 45.4% — — —

Over 3.5 17.9% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob48.4%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 15.6%

#3 0–0 11.2%

#4 0–2 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harima W0.8

Kamogawa W1.4

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HARIMA W · PPG 0.50

KAMOGAWA W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Harima W (H) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kamogawa W (A) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harima W face Kamogawa W on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harima W a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Kamogawa W 46%, so Kamogawa W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Harima W and 1.4 for Kamogawa W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harima W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Kamogawa W. This match finished 2-0.

Harima W vs Kamogawa W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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