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Cerezo Osaka W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 05:00

Cerezo Osaka W

PPG 1.56 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

S. Hiroshima W

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-112.9%0-29.7%0-34.9%0-4+2.6%1 1-08.1%1-112.2%1-29.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.8%2-15.8%2-24.4%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.8%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 45.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.5% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.3%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 12.9%

#3 0–0✓ 8.5%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cerezo Osaka W1.0

S. Hiroshima W1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CEREZO OSAKA W · PPG 1.56

S. HIROSHIMA W · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Cerezo Osaka W (H) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Hiroshima W (A) 45.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cerezo Osaka W face S. Hiroshima W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cerezo Osaka W a 27% chance, the draw 28% and S. Hiroshima W 45%, so S. Hiroshima W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cerezo Osaka W and 1.5 for S. Hiroshima W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cerezo Osaka W are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.44 for S. Hiroshima W. This match finished 0-0.

Cerezo Osaka W vs S. Hiroshima W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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