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Elfen Saitama W vs INAC Kobe L. W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 05:00

Elfen Saitama W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

INAC Kobe L. W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-111.5%0-214.3%0-311.9%0-4+13.5%1 1-02.7%1-16.7%1-28.3%1-37.0%1-4+7.9%2 2-00.8%2-11.9%2-22.4%2-32.0%2-4+2.3%3 3-00.2%3-10.4%3-20.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.4% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 66.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob48.2%

A 67% / xG 0.6-2.5 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.3%

#2 0–3 11.9%

#3 0–1✓ 11.5%

#4 1–2 8.3%

#5 1–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elfen Saitama W0.6

INAC Kobe L. W2.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ELFEN SAITAMA W · PPG 0.50

INAC KOBE L. W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Elfen Saitama W (H) 11.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

INAC Kobe L. W (A) 66.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Elfen Saitama W face INAC Kobe L. W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elfen Saitama W a 11% chance, the draw 22% and INAC Kobe L. W 67%, so INAC Kobe L. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Elfen Saitama W and 2.5 for INAC Kobe L. W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elfen Saitama W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 2.50 for INAC Kobe L. W. This match finished 0-1.

Elfen Saitama W vs INAC Kobe L. W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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