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P. Nagano W vs V. Sendai W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 07:00

P. Nagano W

PPG 0.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

V. Sendai W

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-116.8%0-214.2%0-38.0%0-4+5.0%1 1-06.1%1-110.4%1-28.8%1-35.0%1-4+3.1%2 2-01.9%2-13.2%2-22.7%2-31.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 59.9% — — —

Over 2.5 46.4% — — —

Over 3.5 20.4% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob48.2%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 16.8%

#2 0–2 14.2%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 0–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

P. Nagano W0.6

V. Sendai W1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.4%

Form & verdict PPG

P. NAGANO W · PPG 0.40

V. SENDAI W · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

P. Nagano W (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

V. Sendai W (A) 59.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

P. Nagano W face V. Sendai W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives P. Nagano W a 13% chance, the draw 27% and V. Sendai W 60%, so V. Sendai W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for P. Nagano W and 1.7 for V. Sendai W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, P. Nagano W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.70 for V. Sendai W. This match finished 0-1.

P. Nagano W vs V. Sendai W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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