Today / Wurzburger FV vs E. Bamberg

Wurzburger FV vs E. Bamberg Prediction

Bayern Nord - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Wurzburger FV

PPG 1.23 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

E. Bamberg

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-16.4%0-27.3%0-35.5%0-4+5.3%1 1-03.7%1-18.3%1-29.4%1-37.1%1-4+6.9%2 2-02.4%2-15.4%2-26.1%2-34.6%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.0%3-12.3%3-22.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.1% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 59.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.1% — — —

Over 3.5 47.8% — — —

BTTS 65.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob65.2%

A 59% / xG 1.3-2.3 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.4%

#2 1–1✓ 8.3%

#3 0–2 7.3%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 0–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wurzburger FV1.3

E. Bamberg2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.1% · O3.5 PROB 47.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WURZBURGER FV · PPG 1.23

E. BAMBERG · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.23) vs Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

Wurzburger FV (H) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

E. Bamberg (A) 59.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wurzburger FV face E. Bamberg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wurzburger FV a 21% chance, the draw 20% and E. Bamberg 59%, so E. Bamberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wurzburger FV and 2.3 for E. Bamberg (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wurzburger FV are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.54 for E. Bamberg. This match finished 1-1.

Wurzburger FV vs E. Bamberg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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