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Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 33 Pancho Arena Friday, May 15, 2026 18:00
Puskas A. logo Puskas A. PPG 1.20
2-2 MISS
MTK Budapest logo MTK Budapest PPG 0.80
Over2.5· -3.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.0%
Odds: 1.92 EV: -7.8%
Draw 25.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -6.0%
Away 26.3%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -4.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.62 -3.8%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.55 -7.7%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.50 -12.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Puskas A.
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)

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