Today / Fernwald vs Hummetroth
Fernwald vs Hummetroth Prediction
Hessen - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 43% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 71%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.1%
Form & verdict
FERNWALD · PPG 1.38
HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.33
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.33)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Fernwald face Hummetroth on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fernwald a 43% chance, the draw 21% and Hummetroth 35%, so Fernwald are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Fernwald and 1.8 for Hummetroth (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fernwald are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.33 for Hummetroth. This match finished 3-0.