Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Victoria H. vs Suderelbe

Victoria H. vs Suderelbe Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

Victoria H.

PPG 1.69 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Suderelbe

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.3%0-21.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-02.2%1-14.1%1-23.8%1-32.3%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.4%2-16.3%2-25.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.5%3-16.5%3-26.0%3-33.7%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-110.8%4+-210.0%4+-36.2%4+-4+4.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 26.2% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 72.5% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.7%

H 52% / xG 3.1-1.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.5%

#2 2–1✓ 6.3%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 2–2 5.9%

#5 4–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoria H.3.1

Suderelbe1.8

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 72.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIA H. · PPG 1.69

SUDERELBE · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Victoria H. (H) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Suderelbe (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoria H. face Suderelbe in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoria H. a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Suderelbe 26%, so Victoria H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Victoria H. and 1.8 for Suderelbe (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoria H. are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.27 for Suderelbe. This match finished 2-1.

Victoria H. vs Suderelbe Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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