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Zlin vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Zlin

PPG 1.14 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Teplice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-19.4%0-24.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.5%1-112.8%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-18.7%2-24.1%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-13.9%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.2% 39.1% 2.56 +18.3%

Draw 27.6% 33.8% 2.96 -18.3%

Away win 26.2% 36.2% 2.76 -27.7%

Over 2.5 40.6% 40.0% 2.50 +1.5%

Over 3.5 20.2% 21.1% 4.75 -4.0%

BTTS 45.6% 50.0% 2.00 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.5%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 0–1 9.4%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlin1.4

Teplice0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLIN · PPG 1.14

TEPLICE · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Zlin (H) 46.2%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV +18.3%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -18.3%

Teplice (A) 26.2%

ODDS 2.76 · IMPLIED 36.2% EV -27.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlin face Teplice in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlin a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Teplice 26%, so Zlin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zlin and 0.9 for Teplice (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlin are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Teplice. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.3%. This match finished 3-2.

Zlin vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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