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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 10 Garliavos Adomo Mitkaus mokyklos stadionas· Garliava Friday, May 15, 2026 16:30
Garliava logo Garliava PPG 2.00
3-0 HIT CS3
Kauno Z. B logo Kauno Z. B PPG 0.00
Draw· +15.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.0%
Odds: 1.27 EV: -13.6%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +15.2%
Away 9.2%
Odds: 7.00 EV: -21.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.44 -24.7%
Over 3.5 29.1% Odds: 2.05 -24.2%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.74 -20.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Garliava
2.25
Kauno Z. B
0.47

Model Suggestion

Home -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+15.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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