Today / Norway - Toppserien / Stabaek W vs Rosenborg W

Stabaek W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 7 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 16:00

Stabaek W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Rosenborg W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.1%0-120.1%0-28.0%0-32.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-111.7%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.3%2-13.4%2-21.4%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.8%3-10.7%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% 25.0% 4.00 +2.6%

Draw 42.1% 28.6% 3.50 +47.3%

Away win 31.8% 58.8% 1.70 -45.9%

Over 2.5 25.8% 58.8% 1.70 -33.7%

Over 3.5 5.2% 38.2% 2.62 -51.8%

BTTS 41.8% 62.5% 1.60 -33.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -48.0%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob41.8%

D 42% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.1%

#2 0–1 20.1%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabaek W0.6

Rosenborg W0.8

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STABAEK W · PPG 0.50

ROSENBORG W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Stabaek W (H) 26.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +2.6%

Draw 42.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +47.3%

Rosenborg W (A) 31.8%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -45.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabaek W face Rosenborg W in Norway - Toppserien on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabaek W a 26% chance, the draw 42% and Rosenborg W 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Stabaek W and 0.8 for Rosenborg W (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabaek W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Rosenborg W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +47.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Stabaek W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - Toppserien Predictions