Today / Norway - Toppserien / Haugesund W vs Brann W

Haugesund W vs Brann W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 7 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 16:00

Haugesund W logo
Haugesund W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
0 – 7
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Brann W logo
Brann W
PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-14.3%0-28.4%0-311.0%0-4+30.6%1 1-00.6%1-12.5%1-25.0%1-36.5%1-4+18.0%2 2-00.2%2-10.7%2-21.5%2-31.9%2-4+5.3%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.3%3-30.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 9.6%
Draw 19.9%
Away win 70.6%
Over 2.5 69.8%
Over 3.5 66.0%
BTTS 49.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 27%
ROI -48.0%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-7
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.9 BTTS prob49.7%

A 71% / xG 0.6-3.9 / O2.5 70% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 11.0%
#2 0–4 10.8%
#3 0–5 8.5%
#4 0–2 8.4%
#5 1–3 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund W0.6
Brann W3.9

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 66.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND W · PPG 1.00

BRANN W · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund W (H) 9.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 19.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Brann W (A) 70.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund W face Brann W in Norway - Toppserien on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund W a 10% chance, the draw 20% and Brann W 71%, so Brann W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Haugesund W and 3.9 for Brann W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Brann W. This match finished 0-7.

PredictVantage

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