Dukla Praha vs Karvina Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Regular Season - 30 Stadion Juliska· Prague Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00

Dukla Praha PPG 1.00

1-2 MISS

Karvina PPG 1.36

Away· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dukla Praha face Karvina in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dukla Praha a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Karvina 44%, so Karvina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dukla Praha and 1.3 for Karvina (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dukla Praha are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.36 for Karvina. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.1%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -23.6%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -10.7%

Away 44.0%

Odds: 2.42 EV: +6.5%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.3% Odds: 1.80 -27.5%

Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 3.00 -40.0%

BTTS 45.7% Odds: 1.60 -26.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dukla Praha

0.98

Karvina

1.31

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.36)