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Lithuania - 1 Lyga Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 
Dainava PPG 3.00 
Hegelmann B PPG 1.00
Lithuania - 1 Lyga Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 Dainava PPG 3.003-2 MISS
Hegelmann B PPG 1.00Draw· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.50 -10.9%
Over 3.5 35.0% Odds: 2.15 -24.8%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.64 -14.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dainava 2.25
Hegelmann B 0.73
Model Suggestion
Home -20.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.2%