Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.44 -8.8%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 2.00 +10.6%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 3-1 ✔
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)