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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 12 Tamme Stadium· Tartu Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00
Tammeka logo Tammeka PPG 1.20
3-1 HIT CS5
Nomme Utd logo Nomme Utd PPG 0.80
Over3.5· +10.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.5%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -10.8%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.9%
Away 33.7%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -5.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.44 -8.8%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 2.00 +10.6%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Tammeka
2.07
Nomme Utd
1.86

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)

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