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Nyiregyhaza vs Kazincbarcika Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Regular Season - 33 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 15:45

Nyiregyhaza

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kazincbarcika

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.5%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.2%1-19.4%1-25.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-16.9%3-23.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-15.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% 72.5% 1.38 -28.5%

Draw 25.2% 22.2% 4.50 +8.0%

Away win 22.9% 14.1% 7.10 +37.5%

Over 2.5 60.1% 65.4% 1.53 -8.1%

Over 3.5 40.7% 43.5% 2.30 -6.4%

BTTS 58.6% 59.9% 1.67 -2.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 2.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.6%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyiregyhaza2.1

Kazincbarcika1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NYIREGYHAZA · PPG 1.25

KAZINCBARCIKA · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Nyiregyhaza (H) 51.8%

ODDS 1.38 · IMPLIED 72.5% EV -28.5%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +8.0%

Kazincbarcika (A) 22.9%

ODDS 7.10 · IMPLIED 14.1% EV +37.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyiregyhaza face Kazincbarcika in Hungary - NB I on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyiregyhaza a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Kazincbarcika 23%, so Nyiregyhaza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Nyiregyhaza and 1.1 for Kazincbarcika (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyiregyhaza are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.67 for Kazincbarcika. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Nyiregyhaza vs Kazincbarcika Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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