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Banik Ostrava vs Bohemians Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Banik Ostrava

PPG 1.08 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Bohemians

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.6%0-112.0%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.2%2-17.1%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.6%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% 51.8% 1.93 -17.8%

Draw 31.7% 29.4% 3.40 +7.8%

Away win 25.7% 27.8% 3.60 -7.5%

Over 2.5 28.6% 57.1% 1.75 -50.0%

Over 3.5 11.9% 35.1% 2.85 -66.1%

BTTS 35.7% 62.5% 1.60 -42.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob35.7%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.9%

#2 0–0 15.6%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava1.1

Bohemians0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA · PPG 1.08

BOHEMIANS · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava (H) 42.6%

ODDS 1.93 · IMPLIED 51.8% EV -17.8%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +7.8%

Bohemians (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava face Bohemians in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava a 43% chance, the draw 32% and Bohemians 26%, so Banik Ostrava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Banik Ostrava and 0.8 for Bohemians (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.07 for Bohemians. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Banik Ostrava vs Bohemians Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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