Babrungas vs Zalgiris B Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 10 Friday, May 15, 2026 15:00

Babrungas PPG 3.00

3-0 HIT CS3

Zalgiris B PPG 1.00

Draw· +1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.0%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -4.8%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +1.6%

Away 9.2%

Odds: 5.75 EV: -28.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.60 -16.3%

Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 2.25 -19.8%

BTTS 46.0% Odds: 1.66 -23.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Babrungas

2.26

Zalgiris B

0.49

Model SuggestionHome -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -53.9%

Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus