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Bischofshofen vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 25 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 13:00

Bischofshofen

PPG 2.09 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 70.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.3%0-22.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.1%1-17.8%1-25.0%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-19.3%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.4%3-24.7%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-17.8%4+-25.0%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.0% 52.4% 1.91 +18.4%

Draw 18.8% 26.7% 3.75 -29.5%

Away win 19.2% 32.3% 3.10 -40.5%

Over 2.5 70.9% 65.4% 1.53 +8.5%

Over 3.5 49.9% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob65.5%

H 62% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.8%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 1–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bischofshofen2.4

Wals-Grunau1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BISCHOFSHOFEN · PPG 2.09

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.40

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.09) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Bischofshofen (H) 62.0%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +18.4%

Draw 18.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -29.5%

Wals-Grunau (A) 19.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -40.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bischofshofen face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bischofshofen a 62% chance, the draw 19% and Wals-Grunau 19%, so Bischofshofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Bischofshofen and 1.3 for Wals-Grunau (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bischofshofen are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.40 for Wals-Grunau. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Bischofshofen vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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