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Spezia vs Sudtirol Prediction

League logo Italy flag Unknown League Regular Season - 35 Stadio Alberto Picco· La Spezia Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00
Spezia logo Spezia PPG 1.00
6-1 MISS
Sudtirol logo Sudtirol PPG 1.12
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Spezia face Sudtirol on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spezia a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Sudtirol 33%, so Spezia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Spezia and 1.0 for Sudtirol (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spezia are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Sudtirol. This match finished 6-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 32.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 15.5% Odds: —
BTTS 41.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Spezia
1.08
Sudtirol
0.99

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.12)

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