Spezia PPG 1.00
Sudtirol PPG 1.12Spezia face Sudtirol on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spezia a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Sudtirol 33%, so Spezia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Spezia and 1.0 for Sudtirol (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spezia are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.12 for Sudtirol. This match finished 6-1.
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.12)